The Causes of War

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Distills the causes of wars down to an abacus paradigm - Rated
Mr. Blainy creates an interesting abacus paradigm, which he uses to explain why wars occur. Some of the factors, that are modeled as column on the abacus, are the perceived power of the antagonists, the perceived availability of allies, and a grab bag of 'other causes' such as distracting the populous from domestic concerns. These factors have different weight for different nations. Wars are caused when the sum of the factors for war exceed a certain threshold that can also vary from case to case. One other interesting thought he inspects is the method in determining the causes of wars. Traditionally he argues the cause of war was determined by what goes on prior to the war. This is more difficult, because these factors are colored by the perceptions of the various actors, and often contain misconceptions. The true causes of war can be determined after the war, when the true war power of the combatants are revealed by the win/loss column.